NFL Week 9 Betting Preview: Early Line Movement and Odds Tracking


After eight weeks of NFL action, sports bettors continue to experience that underdogs with a score of 67-51-1 (56.8%) have a slight lead in betting results.

The action returns on prime-time Thursday night with a clash between the Jets and Colts in Indianapolis. The Colts are currently a 10.5 point home favorite with an overall seat count of 45.5 at. SI sports betting.

Get fantasy and betting analysis in your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter.

Let’s take an early look at some of the biggest games that have drawn significant betting attention, resulting in noticeable line movement over the weekend.

Check out the week 9 lines at SI Sportsbook

NFL games of the week 9 “on the go”

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

Money line: Buffalo (-1000) | Jacksonville (+650)
Spread: BUF -14.5 (-110) | JAX +14.5 (-110)
total: 48.5– About: (-110) | Under: 48.5 (-110)
Game information: November 7, 2021 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS

Bettors are investing heavily that Josh Allen will roll over a Jacksonville 1-6 straight-up (SU) roster this season.

That game opened in August with early bets with Buffalo as a 6.5 point favorite but has since adapted to the Jaguars as a 14.5 point home underdog SI sports betting.

Buffalo trying to claim its third road win of the season after a catch-up win against Miami. The Bills have the best goal defense in the league (15.6 per game) and should easily end the 27th-place Jacksonville offensive. average of only 17.6 points per game. Bet bettors are investing that Buffalo will cut a Jaguars squad that has struggled defending its home ground and put a 0-3 SU and Against The Spread (ATS) this season. The jaguars have Lost 11 home games in a row from 2020, which has resulted in a paltry 2-9 ATS (18%) mark.


Public betting: 69% of the money on Buffalo
Line movement: Buffalo -6.5 to Buffalo -14.5

2021 against the spread record

JAX: 2-5 ATS (home: 0-3 ATS, away: 2-2 ATS)
BUF: 5-2 ATS (home: 2-1 ATS, away: 3-1 ATS)

2020 against the spread record

JAX: 7-9 ATS (home: 3-5 ATS, away: 4-4 ATS)
BUF: 10-6 ATS (home: 6-2 ATS, away: 4-4 ATS)

Arizona Cardinals in the San Francisco 49ers

Money line: Arizona (-118) | San Francisco (+100)
Spread: ARZ -1 (-110) | SF +1 (-110)
total: 45.5– Over (-110) | Below 45.5 (-110)
Game information: November 7, 2021 | 4:25 p.m. ET | Fox

We saw a dominant change of favorites with the Cardinals in Week 9 that went to San Francisco.

Arizona, who have suffered a disgruntled home loss to Green Bay, will try theirs Street unbeaten streak on five games after a 4-0 SU and ATS in the first half of 2021.

That game started with Arizona as a 5.5 point underdog on early summer betting, but has since moved significantly to the Cardinals as 1 point road favorites SI sports betting. Pro Money is betting that Arizona with the fourth best offense (30.8 points per game), led by Kyler Murray, will face a club from San Francisco this season that are both 0-3 SU and ATS at home.

Arizona, who beat the 49ers, 17-10, in week 5 as a six-point home favorite, has won seven of their last 10 games with rival NFC West.


Public betting: 68% of the money on Arizona
Line movement: Arizona +5.5 to Arizona -1

2021 against the spread record

ARZ: 6-2 ATS (home: 2-2 ATS, away: 4-0 ATS)
SF: 2-5 ATS (home: 0-3 ATS, away: 2-2 ATS)

2020 against the spread record

ARZ: 7-9 ATS (home: 3-5 ATS, away: 4-4 ATS)
SF: 6-10 ATS (home: 1-5 ATS, away: 5-3 ATS, neutral: 0-2 ATS)

jordan-love-packers-trading opportunity

Green Bay Packers with the Kansas City Chiefs

Money line: Green Bay (+275) | Kansas City (-350)
Spread: GB +7 (-110) | KC -7 (-110)
total: 47.5– About: (-110) | Under: 47.5 (-110)
Game information: November 7, 2021 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS

This game is the ultimate headache for odds makers as Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is set to miss the game after testing positive for COVID-19.

The Chiefs, who were the 4-point home favorites at the start of August, were set to just 2.5 points at the start on Sunday. With strong public and professional support from Green Bay, odds makers have joined SI sports betting forced to pick the line on.

However, following news of Rodgers’ positive test and Jordan Love making his first career start, sports betting positioned Green Bay as an underdog with 7.5 points.

The Packers, who a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road this season, faces a Chiefs squad that has burned bettors at 2-5 ATS in the past seven competitions and, more surprisingly, is 0-4 ATS at Arrowhead Stadium this season. The Chiefs have had a disappointing 3-9 ATS (25%) in the last 12 home games of the regular season.

Patrick Mahomes and Co. were hard to trust compared to the numbers, hitting a total of 9-15 ATS (38%) mark in the last 12 regular season games.


Public betting: 64% of the money on Green Bay
Line movement: KC -4 to KC -2.5 to KC -7

2021 against the spread record

GB: 7-1 ATS (home: 3-1 ATS, away: 4-0 ATS)
KC: 2-6 ATS (home: 2-2 ATS, away: 0-4 ATS)

2020 against the spread record

GB: 10-6 ATS (home: 5-3 ATS, away: 5-3 ATS)
KC: 7-9 ATS (home: 4-4 ATS, away: 3-5 ATS)

Denver Broncos at the Dallas Cowboys

Money line: Denver (+350) | Dallas (-450)
Spread: DEN +9.5 (-110) | DAL -9.5 (-110)
total: 49.5– About: (-110) | Under: 49.5 (-110)
Game information: November 7, 2021 | 1 p.m. ET | Fox

The cowboys, who thrilled to win at Cooper Rush’s first career start, are hoping star quarterback Dak Prescott (Wade) is back in the middle against the Broncos.

Dallas has the third best offensive (32.1 points per game) and is looking to expand its home winning streak to five consecutive SU and ATS cashes. The Cowboys were a cash cow for bettors in 2021 and released the only perfect ATS character (7-0).

The bettors pale a Broncos team that suffered a four-game losing streak in Week 8 when they beat Washington 17-10 as a 4-point home favorite.

The reluctance to support Denver is based on the view that the Broncos haven’t beaten a team with a track record this season. Denver lost to the Browns, Raiders, Steelers, and Ravens while beating the Football Team, Jaguars, Jets, and Giants, who totaled 7:23 (0.233) for the season.

Public betting: 56% of the money on Dallas
Line movement: Dallas -3.5 to Dallas -9.5

2021 against the spread record

THE: 4-4 ATS (home: 2-2 ATS, away: 2-2 ATS)
DAL: 7-0 ATS (home: 3-0 ATS, away: 4-0 ATS)

2020 against the spread record

THE: 9-7 ATS (home: 4-4 ATS, away: 5-3 ATS)
DAL: 5-11 ATS (home: 4-4 ATS, away: 1-7 ATS)


Frankie Taddeo is a successful high-stakes fantasy football player who developed the very first DFS program ever featured on a Las Vegas sportsbook. Frankie is a Senior Analyst at SI Betting and contributes his significant experience and resources in the sports betting scene. You can follow Frankie on Twitter @Frankie_Fantasy for his latest betting and fantasy insights from Las Vegas.

Check out the week 9 lines at SI Sportsbook

More bets & NFL:

Source link


About Author

Leave A Reply