Another Friday, another futures bet.
With each passing calendar day we get closer to week 0. I drool to think that football is back already and it’s only May.
Luckily for our sports betting spare time, we have plenty of options to help us get ready for the season.
I will post a breakdown every Friday before the start of the season. I will be too to tweet them out as I add them as well as insert them into the action app at Kmalstrom.
If you missed the opening article on Miami, you can find it here.
Next up is the Alabama Crimson Tide.
Stop me if you’ve heard this before – Alabama football is good. Very good.
After writing a preview of the potential Texas A&M vs. Alabama game of the year following Jimbo Fisher’s presser, The Tide caught my attention in the futures market.
Not only will they dismantle the Aggies, they may also roll over the SEC. Very brave of me to say I know.
This team brings with it the second-best recruiting class while bringing back arguably college football’s greatest player in Will Anderson and a well-known Heisman winning face in Bryce Young.
Alabama has a defensive TARP of 76% and offense is at 67% – impressive for a consistent elite program focused on constant turnover.
While Young will command all the attention on a repeat of the Heisman campaign, the offensive line will take center stage for Saban — especially after he was dismantled by Georgia in the National Championship.
While the unit took a big hit with the departures of first-round picks Evan Neal and Chris Owens, new offense coach Eric Wolford will have plenty of talent to work with this season. JC Latham and Damieon George Jr saw starting minutes in 2021, and Vanderbilt signing Tyler Steen could also play a key role.
Alabama finished last season ranked 66th in Havoc Allowed — a number it will improve as the offseason focus on the offensive line carries over into September.
Alabama has had great success on offense this past season, ranking 22nd in the success rate and second in finishing drives. Can it repeat that success with new faces across the offense?
I believe it can.
While Young had a historically great Heisman season last year, he may see a more open field with overtime, which is scary considering how dangerous the offense already was.
This is a good sign as he gets a feel for the new faces at the recipient. Georgia transfer Jermaine Burton, JoJo Earle and Ja’Corey Brooks will try to catch the majority of Young’s passes.
Earle caught just 12 passes for 148 yards last season while Brooks had 15 receptions for 192 yards and two points. Burton, meanwhile, takes a national title win over his new teammates.
Repeating Bama’s success in 2021 is never easy, but Tide will be more than ready to pull it off.
Collin Wilson and SP+ agree. Wilson has forecast Bama’s overall win of 11.83 wins and SP+ has the tide of 10.73.
While I rarely advocate taking a favorite for a long time, I just can’t help but feel that at no point this season will we see a better number for Alabama to win the SEC.
With an upset Saban up front and a revised offensive line designed to help Young tear apart opposing defenses, it will spell doom for the college football landscape.
I didn’t even mention that the defense is bringing back much of their production as Anderson tries to keep up with Young’s Heisman campaign.
I recommend taking the tide to take the SEC now at -115 as that number will only go up if Bama picks apart a weakened SEC that has more open questions than usual during the conference.
Texas A&M, LSU, Ole Miss and Auburn all have questions or new faces at quarterback. Mississippi State and Tennessee have disappointed, and Alabama should have no trouble taking care of Utah State, Texas, UL Monroe, Vanderbilt and Austin Peay.
With a near-perfect season forecast, Alabama should have no trouble chasing an SEC title this season.
Choose: Alabama wins SEC (-115)
Previous Picks: Miami Wins Over 8.5 Wins Total (-115) Miami Wins ACC Coastal (+150)
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