Amari Cooper, Julio Jones, Najee Harris, Myles Gaskin, Jeff Wilson, more expert tips


Getty Images. Pictured: Cowboys WRs CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper

  • Looking for the best NFL player props to bet on this Sunday? Our expert is there for you.
  • By comparing his predictions to the odds, he identifies seven props that offer value at week 15.
  • Find out why he likes the following props from Amari Cooper, Julio Jones, Najee Harris, Myles Gaskin, and Jeff Wilson.

Our Director of Predictive Analytics reveals his favorite NFL player props for this Sunday, including Amari Cooper and Julio Jones. He has an all time record of 494-390-9 (55%) on NFL betting he tracked on the action app where you can follow all of his picks.

Note that these lines move quickly and can be out of date by the time you read them. For this reason we have specified a “bet-to” threshold for each. You can find his award-winning player projections here.

Sunday NFL props

Amari Cooper under 51.5 rec yards

Projection: 45.5

As 11.5 point favorites (check real-time NFL odds here), the Cowboys can rely on the running game and defense to fend off the Giants.

Julio Jones under 53.5 rec yards

Projection: 44.5

Jones has only cleared that number in two out of seven games this season, and I expect the Titans will continue to limit him to about 70% of the runs.

  • Bet on: 50.5
  • Best book: BetMGM

Najee Harris over 67.5 rush yards

Projection: 74.5

This correlates with my Steelers -1.5 bet – I expect a positive game script for the Steelers in a must-win game and Harris will get 80-85% of their rush attempts. Project this closer to 74.5

Tua Tagovailoa under 252.5 yards

Projection: 239.5

Jaylen Waddle is not going to clear COVID logs in time to return and I am expecting game script to be heavy running. Projection closer to 239.5

Myles Gaskin over 52.5 rush yards

Projection: 58.5

This correlates with my Tagovailoa under, as I expect a running-heavy game script for the Dolphins as a 10-point favorite against the Jets at home this Sunday. Phillip Lindsay and Malcolm Brown were also excluded, leaving the soft matchup against the running defense in the 31st Jets in the Football Outsiders DVOA to Gaskin alone.

Jeff Wilson Under 1.5 Rec

Projection: 1.1

Wilson was supposed to see the Falcons 17-19, but the 49ers use JaMycal Hasty and Kyle Juszczyk as pass-catching options from the backcourt.

  • Bet on: -150
  • Best book: BetMGM

Taysom Hill over 41.5 rush yards

Projection: 48.5

I bet this early at 41.5 as I expected that line would hit 46.5 by kickoff. In fact, it has already moved a few meters for writing on Sunday morning.

What are NFL player prop bets?

Betting on a player’s statistics or various outcomes can be considered a player characteristic. Bets on over or under on the passing yards of a quarterback, over or under on the number of receptions by a wide receiver and on whether a running back scores a touchdown count as player propellers.

To find out more about the different types of props you can bet on, check out our Bet 101 series.

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